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| Category | Celta Vigo | Atlético Madrid |
|---|---|---|
Current Form (Last 6 Matches) | 0 Wins, 4 Draws, 2 Losses | 3 Wins, 2 Draws, 1 Loss |
Goals Scored per Match | 0.17 | 2.33 |
Goals Conceded per Match | 1.0 | 1.5 |
Shots on Target (per match) | 3.67 | 5.83 |
Average Possession | 57.33% (mostly at home) | 53.3% |
Home/Away Form | Last 3 home matches: 3 Draws | Last 3 away matches: 0 Wins |
Winless Streak | 8 matches in all competitions | Unbeaten in 83% of last 12 La Liga games |
Historical Head-to-Head (at Balaídos) | Lost last 5 home meetings | Won last 5 away visits |
Expected Key Absence(s) | Óscar Mingueza (suspended) | Giménez, Almada, Galán (injured) |
Predicted Win Probability | 21% | 44% |
Most Likely Result | — | Atlético Madrid 0–2 Win |
Celta Vigo welcome Atlético Madrid to Estadio de Balaídos searching for a long-awaited victory, but history and current form suggest a difficult afternoon for the hosts. Claudio Giráldez’s men have endured a frustrating run, drawing four and losing two of their last six La Liga matches, and scoring only once in that stretch. Despite enjoying more of the ball at home, their possession dominance has failed to translate into goals or wins.
Atlético Madrid, on the other hand, arrive with far more momentum. Diego Simeone’s side have lost just once in their past six league outings, scoring at a healthy rate of 2.33 goals per match. Their tactical discipline and pressing intensity remain hallmarks of their play, making them one of the league’s toughest opponents to break down. While their away form has dipped slightly, history at Balaídos strongly favors the visitors — five straight wins underline their dominance in this fixture.
Injuries and suspensions will affect both lineups, but Atlético’s squad depth provides enough quality to maintain control. With Celta’s goal drought and Atlético’s superior efficiency in both boxes, the balance tilts clearly toward the visitors. Prediction models lean heavily toward another Atlético victory, most likely by a 0–2 margin, extending their commanding record in Vigo and further deepening Celta’s winless streak.
