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This La Liga encounter sees Levante host Deportivo Alavés at the Estadi Ciutat de València. The match is scheduled for Friday, February 27, 2026, with kick-off at 13:00 local time. Both teams will be looking to secure crucial points in the league campaign.
| Stats | Levante | Alavés |
|---|---|---|
| League Position | 19th | 14th |
| League Points (25 Games) | 18 | 27 |
| Last 10 League Games (Overall W-D-L) | 2-3-5 | 2-3-5 |
| Avg. Goals Scored (Last 10 Overall) | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Avg. Goals Conceded (Last 10 Overall) | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| Avg. Shots on Goal (Last 10 Overall) | 2.6 | 4.4 |
| Avg. Possession (Last 10 Overall) | 42.2% | 53.8% |
| Avg. Corners For (Last 10 Overall) | 4.1 | 4.7 |
| Last 10 Home/Away Form (W-D-L) | 1-3-6 (Home) | 1-2-7 (Away) |
| Avg. Goals Scored (Last 10 Home/Away) | 0.70 (Home) | 0.60 (Away) |
| Avg. Goals Conceded (Last 10 Home/Away) | 1.80 (Home) | 1.60 (Away) |
| BTTS Yes (Last 10 Home/Away) | 5/10 (Home) | 5/10 (Away) |
| Over 2.5 Goals (Last 10 Home/Away) | 4/10 (Home) | 4/10 (Away) |
| Head-to-Head Wins (Last 10) | 3 | 4 |
| Head-to-Head Draws (Last 10) | 3 | 3 |
| Recent H2H Record (Last 2) | 2 Losses (vs Alavés) | 2 Wins (vs Levante) |
La Liga Betting Preview and Professional Prediction
The primary recommendation for this La Liga fixture is to back Deportivo Alavés on the Asian Handicap, specifically Alavés +0.25 at odds of -149 (1.67). This selection offers a return even in the event of a draw and a more significant payout if Alavés secures an outright victory against Levante. Considering the recent form and head-to-head statistics, Alavés appears to be the more favorable side for this wager. The +0.25 line has been successfully covered by Alavés in four of their last five league matches, including their two most recent outings.
Conversely, Levante has consistently failed to cover the -0.25 line, particularly in their home games (11 of their last 12 at home) and in their last three direct encounters with Alavés. Expert analysis suggests a probability of success for this bet exceeding 65%, indicating strong value at the offered odds.
For those considering a correct score, a 1-0 victory for Alavés stands out as a potential outcome, priced attractively at +600 (7.00). This aligns with the expectation of a tight, low-scoring affair.
Additional betting insights include player props and total corners. Adrián De La Fuente (Levante) is a notable pick for Over 0.5 Shots at -123 (1.81), having achieved this in his last four home league matches. From the Alavés squad, Antonio Blanco as an Anytime Goalscorer at +650 (7.50) is also identified as a value proposition.
Regarding total corners, an Under 9.5 Corners bet at -139 (1.72) is suggested, given the average corner counts from recent home and away fixtures for both teams.
A compelling same game parlay combination involves Alavés +0.25 on the Asian Handicap, Under 2.5 Total Goals, and Adrián De La Fuente to register Over 0.5 Shots. This combination offers an enhanced cumulative odd.
Technical Analysis
Levante enters this match in a concerning spell, having registered four consecutive losses in their recent fixtures. Their last outing saw them fall 3-0 to Barcelona, a match where they managed only 27% possession and a mere two shots on target. Over their last 10 league games, Levante has secured just two wins, alongside five losses and three draws, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.6 goals conceded per match. Their home form is particularly challenging, with only one victory, three draws, and six defeats in their last 10 games at the Estadi Ciutat de València, averaging a low 0.70 goals scored and conceding 1.80 goals per match. Deportivo Alavés, on the other hand, comes off a 2-2 home draw against Girona, a game in which Lucas Boye scored twice. They maintained 44% possession and recorded six shots on goal. Alavés’s recent league record mirrors Levante’s with two wins, five losses, and three draws in their last 10 overall league games, also averaging 1.0 goal scored but conceding 1.7 goals per match. Their away form shows one win, two draws, and seven losses in their last 10 matches on the road, with an average of 0.60 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded. Despite similar overall W-D-L records, Alavés exhibits slightly better offensive metrics in terms of shots on goal and holds a higher average possession compared to Levante.
Head-to-Head Record
Alavés has enjoyed recent dominance over Levante, triumphing in their last two encounters. This includes a 2-1 home victory and a crucial 1-0 away win in extra time at Estadi Ciutat de València. Looking at the last 10 direct clashes between these two sides, Alavés holds a slight edge with four wins compared to Levante’s three, with three matches ending in a draw. This historical performance further supports Alavés’s potential to secure a positive result.
Key Statistical Insights
The statistical analysis heavily favors Alavés for the +0.25 Asian Handicap. Alavés has successfully covered this line in four of their last five games, including the most recent two. Conversely, Levante has struggled to cover the -0.25 line, failing in five consecutive matches, 11 of their last 12 home games, and importantly, in their last three matches against Alavés. In terms of goal-scoring, both teams have shown a tendency towards lower-scoring games, particularly in their home/away splits. Levante averages 0.70 goals at home and concedes 1.80, while Alavés averages 0.60 goals away and concedes 1.60. This suggests that a match with fewer than 2.5 goals is a plausible outcome, as reflected in the market odds. Possession statistics indicate Alavés typically controls more of the ball, averaging 53.8% possession in their last 10 games compared to Levante’s 42.2%. This could be a factor in dictating the tempo of the game. Corner counts also suggest a lower total. Alavés’s last five away matches averaged 7.40 corners, and Levante’s last five home games averaged 7.60 corners. These figures point towards the Under 9.5 Corners market.
Player Performance Insights
For Levante, Adrián De La Fuente has demonstrated an ability to register shots, with one or more shots in four consecutive home league games. He has two goals in the last 10 overall league games. This season, Etta Eyong leads Levante’s scoring with six goals. For Alavés, Lucas Boye is a key offensive threat, having scored four goals in their last 10 league matches and seven this season. Antonio Martinez also contributed three goals in the last 10 games and five this season. Antonio Blanco, identified as a potential Anytime Goalscorer, could be a dark horse to find the net.
Predicted Lineups
Levante is expected to line up in a 4-1-4-1 formation: Mathew Ryan (GK), Jeremy Toljan, Adrian De La Fuente, Alan Matturro, Manuel Sanchez, Oriol Rey, Victor Garcia, Jon Olasagasti, Carlos Alvarez, Kareem Tunde, Ivan Romero. Alavés is predicted to deploy a 4-4-2 formation: Antonio Sivera (GK), Jonny Otto, Nahuel Tenaglia, Victor Parada, Youssef Enriquez, Angel Perez, Pablo Ibanez, Antonio Blanco, Carles Alena, Antonio Martinez, Lucas Boye.
Wrap Up
Considering Levante’s struggling form, especially at home, and Alavés’s favorable head-to-head record and consistent performance against the +0.25 Asian Handicap, the visitors hold a significant advantage. The analytical data strongly supports Alavés to avoid defeat, making Alavés +0.25 Asian Handicap the most robust prediction for this La Liga fixture.
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