Written by 
Cashback Bonus
This highly anticipated Premier League fixture sees Newcastle United host Everton FC at St James’ Park. Kick-off is scheduled for 08:00 on Saturday, February 28, 2026, promising an intriguing battle between two sides looking to solidify their positions in the league.
| Stats | Newcastle United | Everton FC |
|---|---|---|
| League Position | 11th | 9th |
| Points | 36 | 37 |
| Games Played | 27 | 27 |
| League Wins (Overall) | 10 | 10 |
| League Draws (Overall) | 6 | 7 |
| League Losses (Overall) | 11 | 10 |
| Goals For (Overall) | 38 | 29 |
| Goals Against (Overall) | 39 | 31 |
| Goal Difference (Overall) | -1 | -2 |
| Last 10 League Form (W-D-L) | 4-1-5 | 3-4-3 |
| Avg. Goals Scored (Last 10 League) | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| Avg. Goals Conceded (Last 10 League) | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| Avg. Possession (Last 10 League) | 55.8% | 45.4% |
| Avg. Corners For (Last 10 League) | 8.1 | 4.6 |
Premier League Betting Preview and Professional Prediction
Our analysis suggests that Everton, despite being the underdog, presents an attractive betting option on the Asian Handicap market. We recommend backing Everton with a +0.75 handicap at odds of -119 (1.84). This pick implies confidence in Everton securing at least a draw, or a narrow one-goal defeat, which would still result in a partial or full payout. This forecast is supported by Everton’s consistent performance against the +0.75 line, having covered it in five consecutive away games and in eight of their last ten on the road.
Newcastle, conversely, has failed to cover the -0.75 line in four of their last five and in two consecutive home matches. Bookmakers estimate a 54.3% probability for this outcome, but our deeper research indicates the actual likelihood is closer to 60%. In terms of a correct score prediction, a 1-1 draw between the two teams offers considerable value at odds of +600 (7.00). This aligns with the expectation of a closely contested match where both sides find the net.
Technical Analysis
Historically, Newcastle has held a slight edge in the last ten encounters, securing five wins to Everton’s three, with two draws. Their most recent meeting saw Newcastle triumph with a dominant 4-1 away victory. However, when playing at St James’ Park, Everton has managed to win two of the last seven matches against Newcastle, including a 1-0 win in a previous fixture. Newcastle enters this match having suffered two consecutive Premier League home losses. Their last league outing resulted in a 2-1 defeat to Manchester City, despite Lewis Hall’s goal. They did secure a 3-2 home victory against Qarabag FK in the Champions League just four days prior, which could indicate a mixed focus. Everton also arrives on the back of successive league defeats, including a 1-0 home loss to Manchester United.
Statistical Overview
Newcastle currently sits 11th in the Premier League table with 36 points, one point behind 9th-placed Everton. While Newcastle has scored more goals (38 vs 29) over the season, they have also conceded more (39 vs 31). Looking at their last ten league games, Newcastle has a record of four wins, one draw, and five losses, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.7 goals conceded. They maintain a higher average possession of 55.8% and significantly more corners per game (8.1). Everton’s recent league form shows three wins, four draws, and three losses, averaging 1.1 goals both scored and conceded, with 45.4% possession and 4.6 corners per game. At home, Newcastle has won five, drawn two, and lost three of their last ten league games, scoring an average of 2.00 goals and conceding 1.70. For Everton on the road, their last ten league matches include five wins, three draws, and two defeats, with an average of 0.90 goals scored and a strong defensive record of 0.70 goals conceded.
Player Prop Picks
For Newcastle, Bruno Guimaraes has been a standout performer in the last ten league games, leading both in goals (4) and assists (2). Goalkeeper Nick Pope has contributed two clean sheets. Everton’s Thierno Barry also leads his team with four goals in the last ten league fixtures, with Jack Grealish providing two assists. Jordan Pickford has recorded three clean sheets during this period.
In terms of player props, Thierno Barry to register Over 1.5 Shots at -154 (1.65) is a compelling option, considering he has achieved this in three of his last five Premier League matches. Additionally, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall to score Anytime at +550 (6.50) is noted as an appealing choice, given his two goals in the last seven away league games.
Corners Market
The data also points towards value in the corners market. Everton has covered the 3.5 corners line in their last three matches, while Newcastle has conceded an average of 5.20 corners in their last ten home games. Backing Everton to achieve Over 3.5 Corners at odds of -147 (1.68) appears to be a favorable proposition.
Match Odds Overview
The full-time result market positions Newcastle as the favorite at -149 (1.67), reflecting a 60% implied probability of victory. A draw is priced at +310 (4.10), with an Everton win at +380 (4.80). The odds suggest that Over 2.5 Total Goals is marginally favored at -135 (1.74), while Both Teams to Score Yes is available at -147 (1.68).
Wrap Up
Considering both recent form and head-to-head statistics, this match is poised to be a tactical contest. While Newcastle carries the home advantage and a slightly better attacking record over the season, Everton’s defensive solidity away from home and consistent ability to cover the Asian Handicap line make them a strong contender for a positive result. The smart money appears to be with Everton on the Asian Handicap, potentially combined with a low-scoring draw.
The Best USA Online Casinos
