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The NFL season continues with a marquee Week 17 matchup between the Chicago Bears and the San Francisco 49ers. This high-stakes encounter is scheduled for Sunday, December 28, 2025, at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California. With both teams sporting identical 11-4 records, the outcome carries significant implications for NFC playoff seeding. Kickoff is set for 17:20 local time.
| Stats | Chicago Bears | San Francisco 49ers |
|---|---|---|
| Venue | – | Levi’s Stadium |
| Last Game Total Yards Gained | 400 | 440 |
| Last Game Passing Yards Gained | 250 | 295 |
| Last Game Rushing Yards Gained | 150 | 145 |
| Last Game First Downs Achieved | 20 | 28 |
| Last Game Touchdowns Scored | 2 | 6 |
| Last 10 Games Away/Home Record (W-L) | 6-4 (Away) | 5-5 (Home) |
| Last 10 Games Away/Home Avg. Points For | 23.40 (Away) | 23.50 (Home) |
| Last 10 Games Away/Home Avg. Points Against | 28.40 (Away) | 21.10 (Home) |
| Last 10 Games Away/Home Over 52.5 Pts | 2 | 3 |
| Last 10 Games Away/Home Under 52.5 Pts | 8 | 7 |
| Head-to-Head Recent Record (Last 3) | 1 win | 2 wins |
| Last Head-to-Head Score (2025) | 13 | 38 |
| Moneyline Odds | +150 (2.50) | -179 (1.56) |
| Point Spread Odds (Current Market) | +3.5 -122 (1.82) | -3.5 -100 (2.00) |
| Total Points (Under 52.5) Odds | -110 (1.91) | -110 (1.91) |
| Total Points (Over 52.5) Odds | -110 (1.91) | -110 (1.91) |
| Projected QB Passing Yards (Caleb Williams) | 224.5 | – |
| Projected QB Passing Yards (Brock Purdy) | N/A | 254.5 |
Match Prediction Summary
The upcoming NFL clash between the Chicago Bears and the San Francisco 49ers at Levi’s Stadium on December 28 is anticipated to be a more competitive affair than implied by the initial odds. While the 49ers enter the game as favorites, current analysis suggests the Chicago Bears are well-positioned to cover the +3 point spread, with odds currently at -104 (1.96). This prediction is founded on the Bears’ strong recent form against the spread, having covered the +3 line in eight of their last ten games and twelve of their last fifteen this season, including their last two consecutive matchups. The 49ers, despite their five-game winning streak, have shown vulnerabilities at home regarding the spread, failing to cover the -3 line in six of their last ten home games. This trend, coupled with the Bears’ potential for competitive play, points towards Chicago keeping the scoreline close. A projected final score of Bears 27 – 49ers 23 indicates an upset victory for the Bears, offering substantial odds for those seeking value beyond the spread. Key player prop bets, such as D’Andre Swift to score an anytime touchdown at +115 (2.15) and Colston Loveland to exceed 40.5 receiving yards at -114 (1.88), also present appealing opportunities based on individual performance analysis.
Technical Analysis
Match Overview and Betting Outlook
The Chicago Bears are set to face the San Francisco 49ers at Levi’s Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 18:20 on Sunday, December 28. This inter-conference matchup offers intriguing betting angles, particularly concerning the point spread. The 49ers are positioned as the home favorites, reflecting their strong season performance, but the Bears have demonstrated a capacity to outperform expectations, especially against the spread.
Team Form and Performance Insights
Chicago Bears Recent Form
The Chicago Bears enter this contest following back-to-back victories, including a 22-16 overtime success against the Green Bay Packers. In that game, the Bears showcased a balanced offensive attack, accumulating 400 total yards, comprising 250 passing yards and 150 rushing yards, alongside 20 first downs and two passing touchdowns. Their performance metrics against the spread are particularly notable: Chicago has covered the +3 line in eight of their last ten games, twelve of their last fifteen this season, and in their last two consecutive outings. On the road, the Bears hold a 6-4 record over their last ten games, averaging 23.40 points scored per contest.
San Francisco 49ers Recent Form
The San Francisco 49ers arrive on a formidable five-game winning streak, most recently securing a decisive 48-27 road victory over the Indianapolis Colts. In that dominant display, the 49ers amassed 440 total yards, with 295 coming through the air and 145 on the ground. They achieved 28 first downs and notched six touchdowns, demonstrating their potent offense. Despite their strong overall form, the 49ers have a mixed record against the spread at home, failing to cover the -3 line in six of their last ten home games. Their home record over the last ten games stands at 5-5, with an average of 23.50 points scored and 21.10 points allowed.
Head-to-Head Stats
The most recent encounter between these two teams saw the San Francisco 49ers secure a 38-13 victory over the Bears at Levi’s Stadium. Historically, the 49ers have held an advantage in recent matchups, triumphing in two of the last three clashes.
Key Betting Markets and Odds Analysis
Moneyline and Point Spread
Current Moneyline odds position the San Francisco 49ers as significant favorites at -179 (1.56), indicating a 64% implied probability of victory. The Chicago Bears are priced at +150 (2.50) as the underdog. The primary betting recommendation focuses on the Bears to cover the +3 spread, available at -104 (1.96). This specific line suggests the Bears are expected to be highly competitive, with a perceived probability of success between 55-60%. The general market point spread currently sits at Bears +3.5 at -122 (1.82) and 49ers -3.5 at -100 (2.00).
Total Points Betting
The Over/Under line for total points in this game is set at 52.5. Both the Over and Under are currently offered at odds of -110 (1.91), indicating an evenly balanced expectation for a high or low-scoring game.
Player Prop Bet Picks
D’Andre Swift (Bears)
Running back D’Andre Swift is an attractive option for an anytime touchdown scorer, with odds of +115 (2.15). This pick offers value given his potential impact in the Bears’ offensive scheme.
Colston Loveland (Bears)
For receiving yards, Colston Loveland is favored to go over 40.5 yards, with odds at -114 (1.88). His role in the passing game could yield a significant return on this prop bet.
Quarterback Passing Yards
The projected passing yard lines are set at 224.5 for Caleb Williams (Bears) and 254.5 for Brock Purdy (49ers), both with Over/Under odds of -114 (1.88).
First Touchdown Scorer
Christian McCaffrey of the 49ers is the favorite to score the first touchdown, with odds at +360 (4.60). Other players, including D’Andre Swift (+750 / 8.50) and Jauan Jennings (+750 / 8.50), also present intriguing options.
Same Game Parlay of The Match
Our compelling Same Game Parlay involves three selections:
- Chicago Bears +3 on the spread,
- the Total Points going Under 52.5,
- D’Andre Swift (Bears) to score an anytime touchdown.
This combination aims to capitalize on the expected close game, a potentially lower-scoring affair, and a key individual performance.
Correct Score Prediction
Our expert analysis projects a final score of Chicago Bears 27 – San Francisco 49ers 23. This prediction aligns with the expectation of a competitive matchup where the Bears could emerge victorious, offering substantial odds for those exploring correct score markets.
Wrap Up
The analysis for the Chicago Bears vs. San Francisco 49ers game leans towards the Chicago Bears covering the +3 point spread at -104 (1.96). While the 49ers are the favorites, the Bears’ consistent performance against the spread in recent games, combined with the 49ers’ tendency to not cover at home, makes this a high-confidence prediction. Bettors seeking an alternative with higher returns might consider the Bears winning outright with a correct score of 27-23. Additionally, individual player props for D’Andre Swift and Colston Loveland offer specific value for those looking beyond the primary game lines.
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